← All markets
PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability
45%
Yes price
$0.45
No price
$0.56
Volume
$16.7K
Liquidity
$151.3K
Open interest
—
Closes
—
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket ↗

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Oct 23, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.