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PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?

Implied probability
79%
Yes price
$0.79
No price
$0.21
Volume
$17.4K
Liquidity
$95.3K
Open interest
—
Closes
Nov 4, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket ↗

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Oct 29, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.