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PolymarketWorldOpen

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Implied probability
5%
Yes price
$0.05
No price
$0.95
Volume
$27.8K
Liquidity
$67.7K
Open interest
—
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket ↗

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Oct 24, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.