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PolymarketWorldOpen

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?

Implied probability
65%
Yes price
$0.65
No price
$0.35
Volume
$31.8K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Open interest
Closes
Aug 4, 2026
24h movement
-10pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. -10pp since previous snapshot (Aug 1, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.