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PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?

Implied probability
79%
Yes price
$0.79
No price
$0.21
Volume
$13.8K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Open interest
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
24h movement
+1pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. +1pp since previous snapshot (Jul 26, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.