← All markets
PolymarketWorldOpen

Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?

Implied probability
8%
Yes price
$0.07
No price
$0.93
Volume
$14.3K
Liquidity
$27.0K
Open interest
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 22, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.