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PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Implied probability
95%
Yes price
$0.95
No price
$0.05
Volume
$100.7K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Open interest
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 8, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.