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PolymarketMacroOpen

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Implied probability
50%
Yes price
$0.49
No price
$0.51
Volume
$70.8K
Liquidity
$30.6K
Open interest
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 1, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.