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PolymarketOtherOpen

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability
96%
Yes price
$0.96
No price
$0.04
Volume
$23.1K
Liquidity
$50.2K
Open interest
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 2, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.