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PolymarketWorldOpen

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Implied probability
86%
Yes price
$0.86
No price
$0.14
Volume
$35.1K
Liquidity
$62.3K
Open interest
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
24h movement
+1pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. +1pp since previous snapshot (Jul 4, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.