← All markets
PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Implied probability
65%
Yes price
$0.65
No price
$0.35
Volume
$26.5K
Liquidity
$57.0K
Open interest
—
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket ↗

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Nov 5, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.