← All markets
PolymarketOtherOpen

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability
28%
Yes price
$0.28
No price
$0.72
Volume
$372.4K
Liquidity
$51.0K
Open interest
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 1, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.