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PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability
78%
Yes price
$0.78
No price
$0.23
Volume
$21.7K
Liquidity
$37.1K
Open interest
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Jul 2, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.