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PolymarketOtherOpen

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability
54%
Yes price
$0.54
No price
$0.46
Volume
$34.9K
Liquidity
$544
Open interest
—
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
24h movement
±0pp
View on Polymarket ↗

Why this market matters

This market’s price is a live, money-backed estimate of how likely this outcome is. ±0pp since previous snapshot (Nov 6, 2026). Because DePredict normalizes Polymarket alongside the other platform, you can compare how each venue is pricing similar questions and spot where they disagree. A richer “why this matters” briefing — drivers, related markets and history — is planned for a future release.